Halos, inflow and the bathtub
Each of 440 dark-matter halos, spanning about 2 × 1010 to 5 × 1012 M☉ today, grows along a smooth average accretion history. Half of the cosmic baryon share of that accretion reaches the galaxy, multiplied by a randomly wandering factor 10δ(t), where δ follows an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with rms σin and coherence time τin. The galaxy’s gas, metals and stars then obey